You know whose collapse is even worse than the Boston Red Sox? MINE!! After a dominant first couple weeks I’ve come back down to earth as I expected and am certainly overdue for a big week. Last week I finished again at 2-4 ATS, 3-3 SU. K.M, my colleague on this shindig finished at 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS last week. With another Hot Hook Up week that disappointed (for you newbies, that’s when we disagree against the number) at 1-2, we’re ready to right this ship and get back to doing what we did for you, the reading public, in both CFB and CBB last season, that is, make you a profit. So last week leaves our season records to date at:
Bryan- 16-8 SU, 12-11-1 ATS
K.M- 12-12 SU, 10-13-1 ATS
Hot Hook-Up: 6-7-1
Of course, we archive it all here to avoid any doubts:
So poke fun and laugh. We’ve had a couple down weeks now pull us down to mediocre levels of gambling. But you aren’t actually dumb enough to jump ship are you? After all if history has taught us anything it is that we will eventually come through for you. After all 55-60% ATS is 55-60% ATS. Doesn’t matter how you get there, just that you don’t. Most people never will, we have yet to fail at that. Hell, if you paid attention to us during CBB last season you know we can run cold but God help Vegas when we catch fire. After all, most of you don’t have the balls to play the slate we play. This isn’t the marginal six, its the Sexy Six. Six toughest games of the weekend featuring only the best teams in CFB.
You make your own bed by ignoring us. Those who do usually make money….It’s the Sexy Six Week 5
Alabama (-3.5) at Florida
K.M.: Hey, I wrote up a nice sexy six for you guys this week, and then my computer lost it all. So get ready for a slightly truncated Sexy Six from me this week. Sorry guys. Bama has insane team speed on defense. Florida has speed as it’s greatest weapon. Flair passes and sweeps arn’t going to beat the Tide. Brantley dropping back is going to see him pounded into mush and/or throwing picks. Bama’s run game will test Florida’s D like nobody else has. Take the Tide, handily.
Prediction: Alabama 31, Florida 17
Bryan: Why must I even type this out? You know what I think of Florida. You know what I think of John Brantley. Good luck running sideline to sideline with Demps and Rainey against that Bama defense. The talk all week has been “The Swamp is tough for an inexperienced QB.” You know what is tougher? Playing QB for Alabama in Bryant-Denny with little experience. That’s tough. McCarron has been anything Bama fans could have hoped for. He’s taken care of the football with only 2 INT in 4 games. Florida is high off unimpressive wins. Their one good win was aided by the injury to Justin Hunter. Florida will lose, and come Monday they will be out of my SSR.
Prediction: Alabama 30 Florida 14
Hot Hook-Up: Alabama laying the points
Clemson at Virginia Tech (-7)
K.M.: Oh boy, it’s the team I hate to trust against the team I love to hate. Dabo has reeled off two big wins in a row for the Tigers, against the defending national champions and a team that was ranked in the top 5 to start the year. Sadly, that sounds way more awesome when you write it then it really is in reality. Virginia Tech is vanilla and looks to not be the Virginia Tech of old, but they are home, and Clemson doesn’t have a win as good as at VT yet this season. I’m going to lay the chalk in this one and make Clemson prove to me this team can win a big game on the road, if they can, they are plenty legit enough to become the ACC favorite bar none, but if not, the doubts that can be raised from beating a sub-par Auburn and a beat up FSU are going to only grow.
Predicton: Virginia Tech 28, Clemson 17
Bryan: Yikes. Blacksburg on the road? Have you seen Clemson play on the road in recent years? It’s not a pretty sight. Yet, this Clemson team has an offense that doesn’t seem to be reliant on playing at home. Sammy Watkins is as uncoverable in Clemson, SC as he is anywhere else in the country. The Hokies will pound David Wilson against a run defense that currently ranks 85th in the nation. Logan Thomas will have to make plays with his arm and legs. It really comes down to the Hokies secondary. Clemson isn’t dumb enough to try and run on this team. The Tigers run game has been pretty average thus far as it is. Chad Morris will pull out some more wrinkles this week, Clemson will put up 30+ points and will walk away from Lane Stadium 5-0, making my preseason prediciton look that much worse. Go Tigers!!
Prediction: Clemson 34 Virginia Tech 27
Nebraska at Wisconsin (-10)
K.M.: Did you read the SSR? If you did, you know I got Wisconsin to roll. If not, read it already.
Prediction: Wisconsin 38, Nebraska 23
Bryan: Love this game. Looking forward to it more than any other game this weekend. I’m pro-Wisconsin. I’ve made that clear time and time again, but 10 points? Ten points against a team who at any point can be one of the best defensive units in the country and welcomes Jared Crick back to their D-Line to try and counter the combo and White and Ball. For me this game is decided by the offenses. Points may be at a premium in this one but I like the ability of Wisconsin to throw the ball and run it efficiently. Nebraska to me doesn’t have the reliability in Martinez that Wisconsin has in Wilson in the passing game. All we can hope is this is the first of two meetings this year.
Prediction: Wisconsin 20 Nebraska 17
Texas A&M (3-) vs. Arkansas
K.M.: As far as this one goes, I think I gave this one away in the SSR this week, which, for the record, has plenty of good info for those who are dying for some analysis of the top teams. I think A&M has another chance to redeem itself this week, with a fanbase jacked up about playing an old foe who will see their rivalry with Arkansas become an SEC battle after this year. Frankly, I still believe in the Aggies, but I’ve been skeptical of the Razorbacks since the start of the year. For me, this one is simple, I’ll take the team playing in their home state to get a big win at Jerryworld, but this one should be close and really fun, don’t miss it.
Prediction: Texas A&M 31, Arkansas 24
Bryan: What has really changed between this year and last for these teams? It is still two very strong offensive teams except A&M is terrible against the pass. Can’t stop anyone through the air. I have complete faith that my Hogs won’t do me wrong two weeks in a row. I’m sure they’re banged up after getting taken to the woodshed by Alabama last week but this is the perfect setting to follow up a beatdown from Bama. In Dallas. At JerryWorld. Major NFL stadium. All of the nation’s eyes. In fact, I’m pissed this game is on at noon. Umm, what college kid likes waking up at noon on a Saturday? Clemson plays at 630 so not as if I have to wake up for that. This is terrible programming. You want an appealing noon game? Throw on Mississippi St-Georgia. I don’t mind missing that. O, Tyler Wilson rebounds with a 4-TD game. Sooooo—eyyyyy!!!!!
Predicition: Hogs 41 Texas A&M 35
Baylor (-3.5) vs. Kansas State
K.M.: This line befuddles me. Why is it only 3.5? Hell if I know. But I am so bought into Baylor, that I have no choice in this game. Me and RG3 are going all the way, either to the poor house or the penthouse. I saw Kansas St last week beat up my beloved Canes, and all they can do is run the ball. I don’t care how bad Baylor’s D is, they have to be good enough to stop a 1 dimensional attack that for large parts of the game resembles the Wildcat, right? God, I hope so.
Prediction: Baylor 42, Kansas State 31
Bryan: I haven’t seen Kansas St. at all this year. I have no idea how they’re unbeaten. On the other hand I got a look at Baylor in Week 1 and although they beat TCU, I wasn’t convinced they were a top 15 team that night. So how do I decide this? Hell if I know. RGIII has proven to be one of the best players in all of CFB and if I’ve said it once, I’ve said it 100 times: In college always ride with talent over coaching/schemes.
Prediction: Baylor 30 Kansas St. 21
Hot-Hook Up: Baylor laying the points
Auburn at South Carolina (-10)
K.M.: Hey, I’ve taken 5 favorites in a row. Let’s make it 6. I love Stephen Garcia, who is coming off a bad game, so probably the random Stephen Garcia performance theory points to a good game. South Carolina should be able to run the ball better, throw the ball better, and defend better. Sounds like a winner to me.
Prediction: South Carolina 45, Auburn 27
Bryan: Auburn has had two weeks to prepare for this game and South Carolina has been nothing but disappointing so far this season. Still, with that defense Auburn had there’s no chance I’m taking them to beat South Carolina. But in a shootout, I do like them to cover.
Prediction: South Carolina 38 Auburn 34