Alright, alright, I know. I fell on my face last week. It happens. I hadn’t had a terrible week all season, winning at least 2 games every week. So I finally faced some troubles. Sue me. Yes, I told you to raid the kids’ college tuition jar. I told you to borrow from your mother-in-law. But RELAXXXXX. Hey, Babe Ruth struck out. Larry Bird missed jumpshots. Jim Brown fumbled. Settle down. These things happen. O F*** me? No Screw you. I handed you a profit on college basketball last year. I handed you a profit on the regular season for college football last year. More weeks than not I’ve done well for you this year. One down week and the armchair gamblers that read this blog are all over me. There’s 6 or so weeks left. Little Jimmy is still 5-10 years away from college, so relax. We’ll fill that jar right up. Tell your wife you rented a hooker or something, I don’t know. Just don’t send them after me. We’ll right this ship. All that matters is the finish line a**holes. Jump off at your own risk. But NOBODY gets back on the wagon after they’re off. Not even my mother. I told you last week in the writeup I didn’t like the games and large spreads. This week is a bit better but there’s still some large spreads out there. You want to be mad at me? No, be mad at Tennessee for getting outscored by 30 in the second half. You want to be mad at me? No, be mad at Wisconsin for blowing a 14 point lead. But enough excuses, I’ll be better. If you don’t like it, kiss my a….
ALRIGHTY then. Moving on to week 9, Week 8 was disastrous, just a crappy week all around. K.M and I struggled to say the least and put a dent into our records. I collapsed into a 4-2 SU, 1-5 ATS record while K.M was only slightly better at 4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS. Hot Hook Ups were ice cold. 0-3 for the week. That goldmine last year? Yea, avoid our hook ups at all costs. They’re terrible this year. Post week 8, here’s where we stand…
Bryan: 34-14 SU, 24-23-1 ATS
K.M: 26-22 SU, 20-27-1 ATS
Hot Hook Ups: 11-14-1
So it is week 9 and we have some intriguing matchups this week. After that horrendous weekend last weekend that saw us playing 30-point spreads, we’re back to normal. Think of upgrading from 2011 Jessica Simpson to 2005 Jessica Simpson. Sure the intelligence level of the convos may not be great, but it’s a trade you’ll make everytime. That’s what we’re dealing with here. We have a bunch of games that people will want to watch with relatively reasonable spreads. We’re all winners and hopefully at weekend’s end we’ll be back to giving you some…
It’s the Sexy Six Week 9…
Georgia (-3) vs. Florida
Bryan: There appears to be a ton of uncertainty as to whether John Brantley will suit up for the Gators on Saturday. Woopdie-doo. That’s like my Sox in September being unsure if Bedard or Lackey was ready to go. What difference does it make? Florida’s passing game is terrible regardless. Any chance they were going to have in this game fell on the shoulders of their defense and run game anyways. Both teams had a bye week to prepare for this one and everyone knows the history by now of Georgia in this game. Hell, if I was the coach and we were 3-18 in the last 21 meetings vs an opponent, I’d flood the field after a TD too. Georgia is the better team and can eliminate Florida from the SEC race with a win here. While everyone likes to talk about Aaron Murray and deservedly so, this may be the sneakiest top 10 defense in the country. The Bulldogs will be able to make enough plays to win this game. I understand Florida has done Georgia in many a times, but how many times with a QB this bad?
Prediction: Georgia 28 Florida 17
K.M: Time is running short for me to have the season I intend to have, and also time is running short for me to write this Sexy Six up, so forgive the somewhat brief nature of my analysis. Georgia is really in a must win situation here, the pressure on the coaching staff and team that was put on them with an 0-2 start is boiling over for this game. Georgia has the better team, better weapons, and more to play for. Florida is on the slide.
But I never pick Georgia at the Cocktail Party. Ever. Well, I did it once and won. I’m quitting on that move while I’m ahead. Florida, just like I pick every year here…
Prediction: Florida 27, Georgia 24
Oklahoma (-13.5) at Kansas St.
K.M: I’m picking against K-State. Because I hate them. This team owes me a win and I’m coming to claim it.
Prediction: Oklahoma 51, Kansas State 21
Bryan: Two TDs on the road after getting knocked off by Texas Tech. That’s quite a bit to lay your trust in. However I like what Joey Harrington said today on ESPNU. “Oklahoma was the preseason #1 for a reason. Kansas St. wasn’t on the radar for a reason.” Sometimes people miss. I think I’ve maintained many times that Kansas St. proved me very wrong, but this is the weekend their run comes to an end. Oklahoma wins this game. Only question is by how much. The matchups work out favorably for Oklahoma almost across the board. Oklahoma loves throwing the ball. Kansas St. can’t defend the pass. Oklahoma is decent against the run but their secondary is exposable. Kansas St. is a run-first team. What happens if Oklahoma gets ahead by a couple scores? Can Kansas St. get back in the game with the run game or do they have to turn to the pass? If they do turn to the pass, how successful can that be? I think I’m taking a BIG roll of the dice here, but I’m going to lay the points.
Prediction: Oklahoma 45 Kansas St. 28
Hot Hook-Up: Sooners laying the points
Michigan State (+4) at Nebraska
Bryan: I LOVE SUCKER BETS!!! I’m 0-2 already this year on them and this is the first one of the week. Sparty comes into this game high as hell off a big win over Wisconsin. Nebraska is off anyone’s radar except the pollsters who still have them top 15. If this game is on a neutral field or in East Lansing, Sparty is the favorite. So is Lincoln, Nebraska that big a deal to make Nebraska a 4-point favorite? I don’t think so. Nebraska’s offense is so damn one-dimensional. Sparty should be able to shut down the Cornhuskers ground attack and then it is just a matter of hoping the crappy Sparty’s offense that shows up sometimes doesn’t reappear. Still, you’re telling me the team I believe is better, against a team I think is overrated, doesn’t even have to win or cover points but just has to stay within a FG of the inferior team? Sure, I’ll take that….
Prediction: Michigan State 31 Nebraska 27
K.M: Is this a sucker bet? You damn right it is. But you know what else is a sucker bet? Ever picking Nebraska. Nebraska does not impress me on either side of the ball. I’m not sure how they beat Ohio State, who also does not impress me any, meanwhile Michigan State is out there getting solid wins. Yea, I’ll fall for this trap too, I cannot fathom making a case for the other side of this one.
Hot Hook-Up: Sparty with the points
Baylor (+14) at Oklahoma State
K.M: Now in this one, I can see taking the other side. Oklahoma State is just explosive, and turnovers will make a 14 point line wither away quickly. Robert Griffin III and me are BFF’s most weeks, and I got some games lined up where I like Baylor moving forward, so be ready for that, but in this one, at Okie State, I think the stars are aligned for covering this massive line. I’m a bit worried the pressure of Okie State now knowing it controls it’s own destiny may get to them, but if it’s gonna happen, I’m thinking that may be the case later in the year, not this week.
Prediction: Oklahoma State 49, Baylor 31
Bryan: Sucker bet #2!!!! Everyone looks at this game much like I looked at the A&M-Baylor game a few weeks ago when Baylor got 9 points. Easy right? Two bad defensive teams facing off in a shootout. 9 points is a given. Not so fast my friend!!! A 27-point win later for A&M and I was a victim of my second sucker bet. I PROMISE you I’m losing either this game or Sparty. Just too easy for both to hit. Both make too much sense to bet. Vegas isn’t dumb. They know what they’re doing so something about these games I’m missing. Anyways, you know what I’m doing here. I gave it away. Cowboys defense forces a lot of turnovers and their offense is potent but they are due for a shootout after blowing out Mizzou and Texas in games I thought might give them one. Take the two TDs. Oklahoma State might need 55 to cover.
Prediction: Oklahoma State 48 Baylor 42
Wisconsin (-7.5) at Ohio St.
Bryan: Dear lord Ohio State is in for a world of hurting. Wisconsin is coming in M-A-D with a run game that is going to punish the Buckeyes D-line. Have you seen Ohio State this year? Their offense is fairly anemic and even in victory over a “coming back-to-earth” Illinois team they only managed 17 points. They’ve had a bye and get this game in the shoe. It looks like a great spot for them. But this would have been a much better spot against an unbeaten Wisconsin than a one-loss Badgers team. Wisconsin knows it can ill-afford another conference loss with Penn State rolling off to a strong start. They’ll come out and set the tone for the game on the ground. Lay the points with the Badgers. Ohio State may sneak some surprising wins out down the stretch now that some players are back, but this isn’t one of them. Wisconsin wins either way, just a matter of how much you think they win by. I like a cover.
Prediction: Wisconsin 30 Ohio St. 14
K.M: I’m going to pick Ohio State. To lose. They seem to be big fans of losing this year, why not keep it up? Listen, Wisconsin is like 3 times better then Ohio State. I don’t need to explain it any more then that, do I?
Prediction: Wisconsin 35, Ohio State 14
Hot Hook-Up: Badgers laying the points
Stanford (-8) at USC
K.M: Call me crazy, but I’m beginning to think the talent in USC can keep this one close. It’s a sketchy proposition picking a team to win and not cover on a line as small as 8, but I got a backdoor here, I got a full touchdown to give, Stanford’s defense isn’t exactly a unit worthy of fear, and Barkley is overrated, but he’s far from terrible, and he’s got a lot of talent he’s chucking the ball to. I’m as pro-Luck as anybody, and I’m sure he will produce, but I see USC matching Stanford for a large majority of this game. Wouldn’t it just be fitting for Luck to finally get a signature moment with a late comeback to beat USC? It kinda makes sense to me that we’ll see it, it almost seems overdue at this point. Also, worse case scenerio, maybe the Pac-12 will give USC some points after the gun and bail me out of this one.
Prediction: Stanford 31, USC 28
Bryan: This is the game I feel best about of all the ones on the slate. I’ll be watching my Clemson Tigers hopefully beat the hell out of Georgia Tech and rooting for USC like crazy on Saturday night. But I think Stanford wins going away. I think on a primetime stage with another chance to impress voters, this time going up against Clemson at the exact same time on TV, they know they can’t afford a mediocre performance. USC doesn’t possess the run game to stay balanced. So what you’ll end up with is Barkley dropping back 40 times to try and match the Cardinal score for score. On the flip side Stanford will be able to carve up a terrible Trojans secondary for the majority of the night and dictate how USC has to play the game offensively. Once Stanford can just get after Barkley, they’ll rattle him enough to stall the Trojans offense. Game is close for about a half, maybe 2.5 quarters, but by the 4th Stanford has this in the bag. If I’m going to be wrong about a game though, make it this one…
Prediction: Stanford 45 USC 27