Week 11 saw a profitable week from the TSHQ gamblers finally as we got over the hump of the terrible slide we were on. The bonus? NOBODY WON MONEY because everyone abandoned ship. Honestly, you were smart for doing so. This was the Titanic after the iceberg and our boat was out of lifevests. Your best bet was to swim to land. For those who stayed onboard, well it remains to be seen how many lifeboats were left to help you. It’s only one week but we’re down to the final 3 weekends before our end of the year bowl special. Do we have one more run in us to get to the 55% line? We’ll have to see.
In week 11, we did fairly well. K.M went 4-1-1 ATS, 5-1 SU. On the other hand I managed a 3-2-1 ATS week with a 4-2 SU record. On our hot hook ups, when we agree against the spread, a special that has been BRUTAL this year rebounded with a 3-1-1 week. Therefore, after 11 weeks, here’s where we stand:
Bryan: 46-20 SU, 32-31-3 ATS
K.M: 36-30 SU, 27-36-3 ATS
Hot Hook Ups: 15-19-2
For all of this season’s past weeks, you can check out the archives here:
Nonetheless, it’s week 12, a chance to continue our late run at a profit. Now if there is ever a week of college football to miss, this is it. Hands down the worst week of the year. We’re talking end of the night, six sheets to the wind and you STILL don’t see anything appealing enough to take home. If you can find the pretty in this weekend then clearly you’re one of those happy-go-lucky people. Because it just doesn’t exist. It’s easily the worst slate of games we’ve done to date this year and I’d have to go back to last year to see if any weeks rival this. So go take that weekend trip your wife has nagged you to go on. Do some work around the house. Maybe even watch a little college hoops. But if there’s one week to turn away from the TV after you’ve watched your team, it is this one. Nonetheless, its time to move on.
It’s Week 12 of the Sexy Six….
Penn State (+7) at Ohio State
K.M: Wow, what awesome options. Lay 7 with Ohio State, a team with some serious problems, or take 7 with Penn State, a team that doesn’t know how to score 20 points. Gee, thanks Vegas. I think I’ll lay the points at home. I’m predisposed to laying the points as is, and at least Ohio State already has had time for it’s entire season to fall apart and has gotten over it. Penn State’s season collapse is still ongoing and fresh in their minds. I’m not even going to bother trying to break down Big 10 football. I might as well break down how flies mate. It would be more interesting. Just lay 7 with OSU, then go buy a gun, then blow your brains out, because you are gambling on Big 10 football of the worst order, which makes you unfit to continue in society.
Prediction: Ohio State 8, Penn State 0
Bryan: Ohio St. is eliminated from Leaders Division contention if Wisconsin beats Illinois. Despite the nice start to the season for the Illini they will lose on Saturday meaning when Ohio State takes the field on Saturday, they will be eliminated from the Big Ten title race. We know we’re I stand on this game. I’m pro-Penn State. Even moreso since this whole scandal. I think Paterno and the current players are being vilified far too much and I’ll be rooting for them. Both offenses suck. Ohio St. can at least run the ball. Defensively both have been the units that have carried the teams. The Buckeyes are in a good spot here but a TD is a lot for me. Alabama beat Penn State by more but that’s it. Penn State hasn’t played a world-beating schedule but I think worst case they can hang in the game. Here’s to rooting for the Nittany Lions.
Prediction: Ohio State 21 Penn State 17
Cincinnati (-3) at Rutgers
Bryan: Holy shit. This week is horrendous. Don’t get me wrong, this game has meaning. It’s a big game for Big East standards. Cincy takes another step towards the conference’s BCS berth with a victory. Rutgers puts their name in the conversation with a win. But this is called the “Sexy Six Games of the Week”. There is NOTHING sexy about this game. In fact how many of you that aren’t Bearcats or Scarlet Knights or other Big East fans in the race will be watching this game instead of Nebraska-Michigan, Wisconsin-Illinois, Kentucky-Georgia, hell maybe even Iowa-Purdue. Zach Collaros isn’t even playing. He’s out the rest of the regular season at least with a broken ankle. Cincy has some talent offensively. Yet Rutgers has been tough at home and Mohammad Sanu is a beast. In a semi shootout, I almost want to call a push here, but lay the points.
Prediction: Cincinnati 30 Rutgers 24
K.M: Just when you thought it couldn’t get any worse, here comes BIG EAST football. I like typing BIG EAST in all caps. It’s the equivalent in this modern era to a scarlet letter. Using all caps allows the shame of the BIG EAST to draw the reader’s attention, and all the negative connotation that the BIG EAST deserving has earned comes to the forefront. The Rutgers team is coached by a former Miami reject, Cincy is coached by the leftovers after the Brian Kelly era, because he decided to make Notre Dame football irreverent all by himself (and for that, I salute him). I guess I’ll take the home points, not that the BIG EAST offers much of a home field advantage, in my world attendance for all BIG EAST games is 0, as well it should be, but I’ll take Rutgers anyway, that makes the BIG EAST more interesting going forward, although strangely, it keeps the BIG EAST 100% uninteresting.
Prediction: Rutgers 27, Cincy 24
USC (+14.5) at Oregon
K.M: Hey, it’s the game of the week. Awesome. Oregon, who has pretty much nothing to play for right now unless they for some reason think they are still in the National Title race, against USC, who has nothing to play for unless for some reason they are unaware they are not eligible to play for a conference title or play in a bowl game. Awesome. With this game meaning so little to both teams, I think I’ll take 2 touchdowns. Not sure I’d do it based on the on the field product in a normal game, Oregon looks well suited to win this game by about 3 scores, but given the situation, taking the points seems prudent.
Prediction: Oregon 42, USC 31
Bryan: Part of the reason I ranked Southern Cal this week was to see how many teams I could rank this year for one week that never made it back to my poll. I expect USC to be another one of those teams after this week. 14.5 is such a gross line. If it were 13.5, I’d lay the points in a heartbeat because I do think the Ducks win by about 2 TDs. That half-point is killing me. As well as Matt Barkley has been playing, USC’s defense really is mediocre and I expect the Ducks to gash them much the way they gashed Stanford. Oregon and Chip Kelly FIRMLY believe if Oklahoma State slips up that they still have a shot at the BCS title. In fact I bet he believes if people don’t want to see a rematch with two SEC teams that his team is first in line ahead of Oklahoma. And for that reason he’ll look to win impressively here, knowing he won’t get anything from a win over Oregon State or the PAC-12 south champ. It’s his last marquee game. Plus, Lane Kiffin is like, what, the most hated coach in America? Lay the points….
Prediction: Oregon 49 USC 27
Virginia (+17.5) at Florida State
Bryan: The Cavaliers have to go to Tallahassee now to win and keep their Coastal hopes alive as well as keep Clemson from a guaranteed matchup with Virginia Tech who although I preferred over Georgia Tech, I don’t prefer over the Hoos. Simply put, all smart Clemson fans are pulling for UVA here. Nonetheless, Florida State’s defense has been much improved this year and Virginia despite their surprising season (to some) prefers to establish their offense on the ground where FSU has been stout all year. I think Florida State wins here. I think Clemson gets Virginia Tech in Atlanta and I think I’m going to be very nervous that entire game. BUT Virginia can cover this spread. 18 or 19 points is a weird differential. Doesn’t happen too often. So I’m think 20-21 point margin is what it will take to cover. Florida State is no juggernaut offensively. If the Hoos can keep it close for a half, they can cover this. Take the points.
Prediction: Florida State 27 Virginia 17
K.M: UVA has to win this game to set up a one game playoff for the Coastal. FSU has to win this game to not lose this game. Very different stakes in this one. I can’t see a FSU team with little to play for beating a UVA team with it all on the line by over 17 points. Sure, UVA is not very talented, but they are scrappy as hell, I will take 17.5 scrappy points here. UVA’s made me money all year, why stop riding the train now?
Prediction: FSU 28, UVA 14
Hot Hook Up: ‘Hoos with the points
Nebraska (+3.5) at Michigan
K.M: Awesome, more Big 10 football. Michigan seems to be falling apart, Nebraska squeaked by a anemic Penn State. Well, ok, squeaked by isn’t fair, it was a little better then that. If I learned anything at the end of last season, it’s that betting against Shoelace at the end of a season is usually wise. He takes a licking, and doesn’t always keep on ticking. Like Bryan, I too know that Michigan’s D is overrated. I too have seen far more Michigan football then I should admit, because they suck to watch usually, and the idea they are better on D baffles me. Who knows what the hell you people have been watching. All I know is I’ll be watching a Michigan L this week.
Prediction: Nebraska 31, Michigan 28
Bryan: We know I don’t pick Michigan. I haven’t believed in them all year and I’m not going to start now. Granted the other two teams we used them this year, they were on the road. But they lost both and I covered both picking against them, so do you honestly think I’m changing now? Of course not. Nebraska needs a win in this game to keep any miniscule hopes they have of a Legends division title alive. Michigan sucks. O did I already say that? Michigan’s defense is mediocre. It’s not all that much better than last year. Numbers? Who cares about numbers. I don’t. I WATCH games. Numbers told us Stanford had a great run D. Numbers weren’t going to tell you that Oregon was too fast for them. Listening to K.M and I would have. Don’t trust the Wolverines. They’ve barely beat anyone of relevance this year.
Prediction: Nebraska 38 Michigan 27
Hot Hook-Up: Huskers with the points.
Kansas State (+8.5) at Texas
Bryan: Vegas just doesn’t believe in Kansas St. Heck, who am I to judge that mistrust. It took me about 8 weeks to rank them in the SSR. Nonetheless, Texas is a fairly average team this year, fat off a weak collection of wins. Kansas St. as I said in the poll this week really doesn’t have much to point to at this point for wins either. All their past good wins seem to be drying up. Still, on the off chance Texas can win this game, to do so by nearly double-digits? I don’t see it. Take the points.
Prediction: Kansas St. 33 Texas 28
K.M: I hate K-State so much. But you think I’m laying 9 with Texas? You must be high. If I lose this game, at least I lose it on the same principals that have led me to a 9 game under .500 season. There is some honor in refusing to be right, isn’t there? I sure hope there is.
Prediction: Kansas State 28, Texas 21
Hot Hook-Up: Wildcats with the points