TSHQ’s Championship Week Bracketology 3

Bracketology (March 10th 2012 -11am Update)

by Gus Elvin

It’s Championship Week and like I promised I am going to be delivering Bracketology updates all week long, and “a bubble watch” breakdown nightly.  As we begin many of the conference tournaments we have a pretty good idea of most of the at larges teams, as I figure there are about 30 teams competing for about 15 remaining at large spots. While seeds, bubble teams and mid-major conference auto bid winners will without question change as we approach Selection Sunday, I will keep you updated on everything regarding the bracket, including who’s in, who’s out and seeding. If you followed the site last year you will remember the general concept of Bracketology as I will list you the 68 teams in my field and tell you the teams who are still in play but just outside the field at the time of publication. Like last year I am not going to match the teams up because this is a waste of time and there is almost zero chance I or anyone else will get the matchups correct.

Secondly, like last year the team that is currently in 1st or 2nd in their conference will be selected at my digression as the conference’s automatic berth when dealing with mid-majors until the conference tournament final is completed. Although I’d like to just project the conference winners, this will ensure that my picks are more objective and not just affected by biases or my personal opinions. While in my previous installments I have added a small writeup to accompany each team, because it is Championship Week and I want to keep this up to date, we will abandon that system for the duration of the season. Finally the seeds are not ranked 1-4, with the exception of the #1 seeds and the “Last 4 and First 4 Out Categories” which will be ranked 1-4 in order to designate the top overall seed and the last teams in and last teams out. As a disclaimer remember that over the next week a lot will change and seeding and bubble teams will change on a nightly basis.  I will be constantly updating this post, specifically the last 4, first 4 out element, so stay tuned and check back in for updates. Finally these projections are reflected on Monday March 5th, so a major loss or win after this date will not impact or be reflected in this version of Bracketology. Lastly, since some conference tournaments have been completed all teams that are in bold have already clinched an automatic bid into the NCAA Tournament while an asterisk denotes my projected conference winner.That’s about it from me I officially declare class in session.

*Denotes Current Conference leader

Bold Denotes Conference Champion-Automatic Bid

#1 Seeds

1.) Kentucky

2.) Syracuse

3.)*(Big Ten)Michigan State

4.) *(Big 12)-Missouri

#2 Seeds


Ohio State


North Carolina

#3 Seeds





#4 Seeds



*(ACC)-Florida State

*(OVC)-Murray State

#5 Seeds

Wichita State

*(Big East)-Louisville



#6 Seeds


*(WCC)-Saint Mary’s


*(Mountain West)-New Mexico

#7 Seeds

*(Missouri Valley)-Creighton


Notre Dame

San Diego State

#8 Seeds


Iowa State


Kansas State

#9 Seeds



Saint Louis


#10 Seeds

Southern Miss


West Virginia


#11 Seeds



*(Big West)-Long Beach State


#12 Seeds


Colorado State

*(Colonial) –VCU

First Four Game:  USF vs. NC State

#13 Seeds

*(Atlantic Sun)-Belmont


*(A-10)- St. Bonaventure

First Four Game: BYU vs.Seton Hall

#14 Seeds


*(SUMMIT)-South Dakota State


*(Big Sky)-Montana

15 Seeds

*(MAAC)-Loyola -Maryland



*(NEC)-Long Island

#16 Seeds

*(Southland) – Lamar

*(Big South)-UNC-Asheville

First Four Game: *(America East)-Vermont vs. *(SWAC)-Mississippi Valley State

First Four Game *(MEAC)-Nofolk State vs. *(Sun Belt)-Western Kentucky

Bubble Watch

Last 4 In


NC State


Seton Hall 

First 4 Out

Mississippi State




Next Four Out





Next Next Four Out

Ole Miss

Oral Roberts



Also Considered: Oregon, Middle Tennessee State,  Dayton, 


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3 thoughts on “TSHQ’s Championship Week Bracketology

  • Gus Elvin

    March 7th update….

    -Seton Hall loss to Louisville might be the final straw for the Pirates but Seton Hall stays in last 4 for at least 1 more night….with bubble teams nc state, miami, texas, usf,northwestern all in action tommorow….Seton Hall likely to slide out of the field for the time being.

    -Last 4 In

    Seton Hall

    First 4 Out

    Next 4 Out
    NC State
    Saint Joseph’s
    Oral Roberts

  • Gus Elvin

    Bubble Watch March 5th 
    -VCU moves off the Bubble line as they claim CAA’s automatic bid with a 59-56 win over Drexel.-Oral Roberts loses to Western Illinois….fringe bubble team in my next 4 out but idle the rest of the way….Golden Eagles start getting ready for the NIT.-Drexel loses to VCU in conference final but still technically alive…I think Drexel is very unlikely to be an NCAA team because they have 0 Top 50 RPI wins, an RPI of 65 and a crippling SOS of 272. Next Next 4 Out because 0 Top 50 wins, a mediocre RPI and a historically bad SOS.Bubble Teams in action on TuesdayConnecticut vs DePaulDayton vs George WashingtonSeton Hall vs ProvidenceSaint Joseph’s vs CharlotteUMASS vs Duquesne*Penn at Princeton- This game is critical to the bubble because if Penn loses Harvard clinches auto bid and wont be in contention to steal an at large bid. If Penn wins forces tiebreaker with Harvard to decide the Ivy League Title and the conference’s automatic bid.