Quincy Miller scouting report, SF Baylor
KM’s Take: What is Quincy Miller doing here? How is the the 16th best prospect or whatever number this one is? He’s falling like a stone off draft boards! Some NBA execs are questioning if he’s even a first round talent!
Oh yea, I ranked him 10th, that’s how he got here. And I’m right.
Quincy Miller was every bit the prospect the top pick Davis, Beal and Kidd-Gilchrist were. But he had ACL surgery after his High School Senior year. So last season he was a 6 foot 10 with every offensive weapon you could possibly want small forward who was playing at like 70%. Miller can score mid-range, he can post, he can drive, he can pass, he can play off the ball, he can run a point-forward look, he has handles, but his ACL was healing last year. Somehow this makes the kid a second rounder? Whatever. Miller is going to be a beast. He’ll be a solid rookie, and in year two, he’ll likely finally reach 100% and be a top 10 draft talent at least, with the upside to be the second best player in this draft. Yes, I said second best.
Downside: Maybe he doesn’t heal. Then you get the second coming of Bill Walker. But guess what? At 16 or whatever number we have Miller ranked right now, you are at best 50% to end up with a player that doesn’t matter, probably closer to 80%. So if the downside is that he might flame out, just remember, nobody ever lost a title because their first round pick outside the lottery didn’t pan out.
Oh yea, he’s not much a defender. Defense is lame anyway.
Best Fit: Any team that might lose it’s SF in a year or two.
This is really simple. Quincy Miller either is a jackpot or a whammy. If you are Philly, Denver, Portland, Brooklyn, Orlando, any team that wants a new SF but has one or might lose their SF in free agency, Quincy Miller makes a ton of sense. He’s going to be a better player in the pros then he was in college, because an ACL injury is actually a legitimate excuse for not performing, hell it’s going to keep the MVP of the 2010-2011 NBA season out for like 10 calender months of action. So you draft Miller, you hope he heals, and maybe you got a sick steal. If he does fall like some GM’s are predicting, teams who are looking to sell their late first round picks should have an easy time finding a buyer, because the upside of Miller is SOMEHOW not obvious to everybody, but I’m not the only one that sees it.
Best Case Scenario: Taller Brandon Roy
Worst Case Scenario: Black Chandler Parsons